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Chỉ số crypto fear & greed cho thấy các nhà đầu tư bitcoin đang cực kỳ sợ hãi

  • Thread starter azcoin
  • Ngày gửi
azcoin

azcoin

Member
#1
Theo chỉ số Crypto Fear & Greed, các nhà đầu tư gần như sợ hãi như trong thời kỳ thị trường gấu vào tháng 1, nơi Bitcoin được giao dịch dưới 4.000 đô la. Xem thêm: monero tapchibitcoin

Chỉ số được quy ước từ 0-100 cung cấp thước đo tâm lý hàng ngày trên thị trường bằng cách đo lường và tổng hợp dữ liệu từ biến động, khối lượng, phương tiện truyền thông xã hội, khảo sát và thống trị Bitcoin. Điểm 0 đại diện cho “nỗi sợ cực độ” và 100 cho thấy “lòng tham cực đại”.

Chỉ số dao động trong khoảng từ 11 đến 40 trong vài tháng qua. Theo đó, tâm lý chỉ một phần lạc quan hoặc tham lam hơn so với tháng 12/2018 đến tháng 1/2019, khi vốn hóa thị trường dưới 140 tỷ đô la và khối lượng giao dịch dao động khoảng 20 tỷ đô la mỗi ngày. Con số này chỉ bằng 60 và 70% so với số liệu của ngày hôm nay.

chi-so-crypto-fear-greed-cho-thay-cac-nha-dau-tu-bitcoin-dang-lo-so.png


Nguồn: alternative.me

Tâm lý thị trường hiện tại dường như nghiêng về sợ hãi hơn kể từ cuối tháng 6, đã đảo ngược đáng kể ngay sau khi Bitcoin bắt đầu giảm mạnh từ $13,900 vào ngày 26/6 khi chỉ số ghi nhận mức cao nhất mọi thời đại là 95, cho thấy tâm lý tăng giá vô cùng.

Không có gì đáng ngạc nhiên, hành động giá Bitcoin có xu hướng tác động sâu rộng đến tâm lý trong ngày, với buy và sell wall mạnh mẽ trùng khớp với sự thay đổi nhanh chóng của chỉ số Greed hoặc Fear. Ví dụ, Bitcoin đột ngột trượt từ $10,950 xuống còn $9,900 vào ngày 20 và 21/8, đưa chỉ số về mức thấp đáng kinh ngạc là 5, mức tâm lý sợ hãi thấp nhất được ghi nhận trong lịch sử 19 tháng. Nhưng, các yếu tố khác ngoài hành động giá cũng góp phần thay đổi chỉ số sang sợ hãi của thị trường. Xem thêm: hội chứng fomo

Bakkt có làm thị trường sợ hãi hơn không?

Sự kiện ra mắt của hợp đồng tương lai Bitcoin rất được mong đợi của Bakkt vào ngày 23/9 trùng với thời điểm chỉ số tâm lý giảm mạnh đến điểm thấp nhất trong hồ sơ (12/100). Ba ngày sau đó, khối lượng bất ngờ chỉ dừng lại 72 BTC, ít hơn 2% khối lượng hằng ngày của hợp đồng tương lai thanh toán bằng tiền mặt của CME trong năm 2017.

Nhà đầu tư cực kỳ mất niềm tin khi Bitcoin giảm qua mốc $10,000, một con số mà các trader xem là mức hỗ trợ tâm lý quan trọng và đã bắt đầu rơi tự do 15% giá trị vào ngày 24/9, thanh khoản hơn 600 triệu hợp đồng dài hạn trên các sàn giao dịch phái sinh Bitcoin BitMEX.

chi-so-crypto-fear-greed-cho-thay-cac-nha-dau-tu-bitcoin-dang-lo-so2.png


Nguồn: alternative.me

Xu hướng giảm kéo dài nhiều tháng gần đây về mức độ tâm lý cho thấy các nhà đầu tư đang phản ứng thái quá với các sự cố thị trường gần đây. Bởi lẽ, thị trường tiền điện tử hiện vẫn đang ở vị thế mạnh hơn so với tháng 1 và tháng 2.

chi-so-crypto-fear-greed-cho-thay-cac-nha-dau-tu-bitcoin-dang-lo-so3.png


Nguồn: coincheckup.com/global

Khối lượng giao dịch và tổng vốn hóa rất tốt, được cho là phản ánh sự gia tăng ổn định của mức độ quan tâm từ các tổ chức và nhà bán lẻ đối với Bitcoin như một kho lưu trữ giá trị, chống lại sự không chắc chắn về kinh tế và tài sản sinh lợi cho đầu cơ.
 
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